Indian Stock Markets – Up, Down, Crashing and Recovering!!What Are They (& The Govt.)Heading To?
October 17th, 2007 - by 2point6billion.com
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(The online Sensex graph of BSE is here)
Markets opened with a 10% down. It’s slowly recovering now. Everyone is anxious to know what’s more to happen!
I guess this was due. Though many had been waiting for the market to reach 20,000, much before Diwali ( a major Indian festival) and all thought it would but then we knew in which direction the wave was actually heading. Didn’t we??
On Tuesday, Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensex ended 7 points lower at 19,051.86. National Stock Exchange’s Nifty ended down 2 points at 5668.05, making a high of 5708.35 and low of 5578.45.
And when we often asked ourselves : “Will the Sensex continue to rise at this fast pace? And will I profit from the Bull Run?” and the bullish that we are, SEBI shouts out another time.
Securities and Exchange Board of India’s (SEBI) proposal to tighten the rules for purchase of shares and bonds in Indian companies through the participatory note (PN) route, plunged the Sensex to 17,500 this morning crashing it. Nifty crashed by 500 points. The idea of SEBI is to stop the indirect investment by foreign investors on the stock markets which lead the Sensex rise from 15000 (our last write up to when it was 15,000 points, while in 3 months its 19,000 +).
Former NSE Chairman R H Patil said, “The market is being manipulated right now and a bubble was growing rapidly. Although the Sebi proposals are late, they would help avoid a greater disaster. It is very important to know the identity of foreign investors, who have been manipulating this market.”
And what’s more: Trading at the BSE had been haulted. This was last done on 2004 in the month of May.
Finance Minister says “SEBI’s action are a part to moderate the capital flows”
Investor is most welcome to register as an FII. These decisions are in the long run in the interest of investors”
Two school of thoughts have been arisen here
1. Government should not have done this:
Those who believe this school, say that why passion for capital control now?
2, Those who are happy : are because its a long term benefit.
What’s your view? Especially if you were a PN Holder!
And what will the Government do if India still has billions being pumped in the country? (remember its last action on ECB’s)
{Participatory notes are derivative instruments which are issued by FIIs to foreign investors who like FIIs are not registered with SEBI but want an exposure to Indian equities. Foreign investors who want to trade in Indian securities anonymously use PN route. Any entity investing in participatory notes is not required to register SEBIeas all FIIs have to compulsorily get registered.
Indian-based brokerages buy India-based securities and then issue participatory notes to foreign investors. Any dividends or capital gains collected from the underlying securities go back to the investors.
However, a large number of Foreign Investors prefer P-Notes which protect their identity and give them easy and quick entry-exit opportunity. This money is used for huge market manipulations}
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October 17th, 2007 at 7:50 pm
Well the markets came back sharply. Closed around 330 points in the red - much above the 1700 it lost in the first hour! That was scary….but with clarifications from the Finance minister they rebounded. The markets are strong…
October 18th, 2007 at 12:33 am
Sheetal,
The opening today is not at all a surprise. I had written couple of days back that I woudnt be surprised if market falls by 1000 poins in a day…after that 1000 point jump in 4 sessions.
It is never good to have these kind of spurts…it always makes traders jittery and when they are not confident, this is what happens..
However, much to my amazement, most of it recovered (I am really surprised that it did), if it was manipulation that was taking place…it woudnt have recovered back so much…And manipulation cannot be done at the volumes that market is trading last few days(atleast thats what I think)…
I am not sure if we will touch 20K by year end, I’d be happy even if we stay where we are for next 3-6 months..
I don’t think Indian markets can digest such high valuations..
October 18th, 2007 at 2:02 pm
I agree that today’s opening stats wasnt unknown considering the closing bell yesterday.
However the FM’s clarification have got the markets back.
For the last few months markets have been all about Manupulations. Just check out Reliance Growth figures. The Results of its Energy and other units are down, however the share price are higher by many times. Twisting the prices for vested interests is the “in” thing. shall we call them and alike market makers.