Aug. 30 – China has announced this week that they have recently test-fired a new generation inter-continental ballistic missile (ICBM) that is capable of carrying up to 10 nuclear warheads. The missile, called Dongfeng-41, has a strike range of 14,000 kilometers.
The announcement, which was broadcasted on China’s state-run CCTV, said that “China last month tested a new generation of intercontinental ballistic missile, the Dongfeng-41, or DF-41, which is believed to have a maximum strike distance of 14,000 km.”
In a rare occurrence, the announcement also contained video footage of mobile missile units in action.
Perhaps provocatively, the announcement also said that “the new missile’s mobility, precession and war head yield combined give China a first strike capability.” China claims, however, that it would never be the first one to use nuclear weapons, and that its arsenal is strictly designed as a deterrent and for counter-attack in the event of a nuclear strike against its territory.
On Tuesday, China’s CCTV also reported that the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) mobile missile units have been undergoing training in different parts of the country to become familiarized with local, climatic conditions.
This missile launch is of significant strategic importance for India. China’s test-fire has occurred in the aftermath of India’s own launch of its Agni-V missile, which has the capability to reach several cities deep within China. It then begs the question, is China’s recent launch in reaction to India’s own missile launch?
At a time when China and India have been militarizing their shared border within the Himalayas, such missile diplomacy is an unwanted addition to already tense Sino-Indian relations.
High-level interactions and negotiations between China and India, however, are set to increase. China’s Defense Minister, General Liang Guanglie, is due to visit India for official meetings from September 2, 2012. This will be the first visit from a Chinese defense minister to India in the past seven years.
The purpose of the trip is to deepen military ties between the nuclear-armed neighbors, especially along their heavily-armed Himalayan border. It is expected that successful negotiations will result in the creation of confidence building measures, and possibly the revival of their “hand-in-hand” bilateral exercises (which have been placed on hold since 2010 after China denied an Indian general a visa).
In an official statement, the Indian government noted that measures to increase “peace and tranquility” along the Sino-Indian border is on the agenda. The government further stated that “the two sides will also discuss measures to promote defense cooperation between their armed forces.”
The overall situation is thus quite positive. In recent years the militarization of the border between China and India has been a contentious issue – any confidence building measures that can be put in place will only serve to decrease tension in the region. However, further testing of nuclear-capable ICBMs could potentially inject a degree of uncertainty into the strategic calculations of both sides. Nonetheless, continued high-level interaction between China and India can only help to preserve the positive relations between the Asian giants.
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These new missiles cannot be India-centric. For that, China would not need a range of 14000 km. These missiles must be targeting the US, imho.
@Carlos
Agreed. China does not have to prove anything to India. Short and medium range Chinese missiles that are already stationed in Tibet looking down on India are more than enough. India’s calculus is that with her new Agni missiles is that China would have more to lose in a nuclear exchange. At the same time, however, the Indian government isn’t exactly keen to prod the Dragon and try to test that supposition out.
India is not interested in “prodding the Dragon”. Nor, does India think that China would have more to lose in a nuclear exchange. India’s nuclear weapons are there as a deterrent to prevent “dragons” and other assorted reptiles/creatures from prodding her
I am assuming India’s nuclear deterrent is credible.
This new Chinese missile is not India centric. They have many other missiles which covers India completely. However Agvi-5 is definately China centric missle.
There are different threat perceptions for India as well as China. China see US as a long term military threat and thus it was mantadeory for them to master ICBMS as quickly as possible which can reach US or its interests. Where as West/US is not hostile towards India (as of now) and thus India’s immediate threat is only from China and Pakistan with whom India fought wars in the past.
But in next 10-20 years, as India grows and so its interest throughout the world to feed its growing economy. Also it will open many news gates of collision of interest between India and the west.
By 2020 itself, India will produce Surya (ICBM) with 10,000 KM+ range to cover Europe (but then there is actually to military compusion for India to actually go for it on urgent basis).
India always have masters technologies related to space launch vechiles and reentry technologies. No once will be surprise if India comes with ICBM very soon.
Infact no one was surprise either when Agni V was tested successfully.
China, US, India, Europe(combined EU countries) will be only super powers in the worlds in next 30 years in terms of Human capital, Market size, economy size, share in world trade, militarty strength and access to natural resources.
If US and Europe work in collaboration for their control over the world, they would want India and China to be busy with their disputes and competitions.